Jang Song Thaek’s purge was expected a long ago by the book Kim Jung Il’s Will and Kim Jung Un’s future (2012). The reasons are mainly because of Kim Jung Il’s Will, deterioration of, Kim Kyung Hui’s health, and Kim Jung Un’s visit to China
- Kim Jung Il’s Will and Deterioration of Kim Kyung Hui - Kim Jung Il, most oust those who mention about innovation and openness - Kim Kyung Hui “I will complete the power structure for Kim Jung Un”
According to the source, it was known on August 20, 2013 that Kim Jung Hui’s health got too bad to prepare for her death.
“It is my responsibility to complete the idolization of Kim Jung Un in the Workers Party and my daeth” said Kim Jung Hui, and she kept her words. She was deeply involved in the change of “Ten Principles for a Monolithic Ideological System” to “Ten Principles for a Monolithic Leader Ideological System” and directed the process to consolidate the Kim Jung Un regime.
Jang Song Thaek’s purge was an extension of consolidating the Kim Jung Un regime, and more importantly it was the “assignment from Kim Jung Il’s Will.” Before his death, Kim Jung Il mentioned about the sectarian and depict them and stated that ‘those who talked about needs of Capitalism innovation and openness in the country’ it seemed that Kim meant Jung as one of them.
The answer for the question why the purge has to be now is because Kim Kyung Hui’s health got worse, and it was absolutely necessary for her to complete her duty to execute according to her brother Kim Il Sung’s will.
2. Chinese Foreign Policy towards North Korea and Kim Jung Un’s visit to China
- Xi Jinping will meet Kim Jung Un only if Kim opens the country while abandoning the nuclear weapon
- Kim Jung Un postpones his visitation to China to early next year
NKSIS independently confirmed that Kim Jong Un had a meeting scheduled in November to visit. The time between November 2 and November 8, North Korean delegation visited China for in prior to Kim Jong Un’s scheduled visit, and discussed the related issues.
However, it was confirmed that Kim Jung Un’s visit, which was scheduled in November, became postponed to early next year. The reason was that Beijing demanded that Pyongyang had to show the improvement in the level of innovation and openness in the country and visible effort to resolve the nuclear conflict.
The purge of Jang Song Thaek was carried out at this point. By ousting Jang, who was known as a Chinese expert and a man who wished for more openness and innovation in the country, North Korea would like to warn China and send a message that “Kim Jung Un is the leader of the nation” within the country. It was a signal that nothing can be done without Kim Jong Un in North Korea.
According to the senior source, Vice President of the People's Republic of China Li Yuanchao personally mentioned about Jang to Kim Jong Un, saying “Listen to Jang Song Thaek. If Jang Song Thaek gets rid of the power, Chinese aids to North Korea will not be carried out smoothly.” It was rare for China to get involved in internal affairs of Jang Song Thaek, breaking the principle of non-intervention between neighboring countries.
Hitherto, the editor of NKSIS did not release the news right away because there were too many way to interpret the news. However, now it was seen that China already knew about the internal matters in North Korea including Jang’s ouster in advance and tried to give pressure to Pyongyang.
The Purge of Jang Song Thaek demonstrates that there is a change in the power structure of North Korea, and it makes difficult for the China and the international community, (the Western world and the U.S. in particular), who push North Korea to unlock its door for innovation and openness, look ahead to Kim Jung Un’s next move. This strategy shows North Korea’s foreign policy towards China and the U.S., giving the world an indication to resolve the conflict around the Korean peninsula.
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